深圳正落入“后中等收入陷阱”吗?——对深圳服务业内部结构调整的思考

Is Shenzhen Falling into A “Post-Middle-Income Trap”?

本文基于威廉·鲍莫尔提出的"鲍莫尔病"概念,对深圳市是否正落入"后中等收入陷阱"进行了验证。在此基础上,结合伦敦、巴黎和旧金山等国外城市的发展经验,提出深圳应优先发展生产性服务业,抑制消费性服务业成本的快速上涨。

Based on William Baumol＇s ＂Baumol Disease＂ theory, this paper checks on whether Shenzhen is falling into a ＂Post-Middle-Income Trap＂. Based on the experience from London, Paris and San Francisco, the author suggests Shenzhen prioritize producer service and restrain the upsurging cost of consumer service.