基于突变理论的国内外火灾科学研究进展和展望

Progress and prospect of the fire science based on catastrophe theory

简要归纳了突变模型的特征和突变理论的应用方式,重点综述了突变理论在火灾科学中的应用情况,概括了突变理论在火灾科学中三个应用特点。针对具体油气爆炸实验数据,利用随机突变理论,对油气爆炸的突变模式进行了初步研究,说明了建立统计突变模型的可行性。最后指出了突变理论应用于火灾科学的未来研究方向。

This paper first summarizes the characteristics of catastrophe model and the application directions on the catastrophe theory, and then reviews some applications of catastrophe theory in fire science, with three application characteristics outlined. Based on the specific oil and gas explosion experimental data, a preliminary study is conducted on the explosive catastrophe model by random catastrophe theory. The result suggests the feasibility of developing statistical catastrophe model. Finally, two significant fire research subjects on catastrophe theory are suggested.