基于Bass模型的我国大学技术创新扩散实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Technology Innovation Diffusion in Chinese Universities Based on Bass Model

在研究分析创新扩散模型中最具代表性的Bass模型的基础上,结合大学技术创新扩散的特点,把重复购买作为变量建立了适用于大学技术创新扩散的改进模型.以我国大学技术成果转让收入作为样本数据进行回归分析,得出大学技术创新扩散的方程式,并进行前瞻性的预测分析.

Based on the analysis of the Bass model which is the most representative of innovation diffusion models,and the characteristics of technology innovation diffusion of universities,this paper has established a improved model for the technology innovation diffusion in universities taking repeated purchase as an variable.Based on the regression analysis of the income of technology transfer in Chinese universities,an equation for technology innovation diffusion in universities is obtained,and a forward-looking predictive analysis is given.