基于哈肯模型的现代服务业演化机制研究

Evolution mechanism of modern service industry on the basis of Haken model

在探讨现代服务业产业系统的自组织特征的基础上,运用自组织理论中协同学哈肯模型研究现代服务业的演化,采用绝热消去法分析了现代服务业演化的序参量和控制变量,建立了现代服务业演化模型,根据面板数据分析方法进行了模型求解,构建了现代服务业演化趋势函数,模拟现代服务业的演化规律与过程.从模型的控制变量分析结果可知,所选变量中,劳动生产率代表了技术进步和创新,是现代服务业演化中起主导作用的序参量.同时,劳动生产率与投资率之间也产生相互作用,二者都是现代服务业演化的主要影响因素,存在系统演化的反馈机制.

The paper used Haken model of Synergetics in self-organization theory to study the evolution of modern service industry,based on the investigation of the self-organizing feature of the modern service industry system.At first,the paper analyzed the order parameter and control variables for modern service industry’s evolution by adiabatic elimination method and built the evolution model of modern service industry.Secondly,after the model solving through panel data analysis methods,trend function of the evolution was constructed,and the process and discipline of modern service industry’s evolution was simulated.From the analysis of control variables in the model,it is easy to conclude that the labor productivity in the chosen variables represents the technology progress and innovation,and is the conducted order parameter in the evolution of modern service industry.And at the same time,labor productivity and investment rate could interact with each other.So they are both the main influencing factors of the evolution,which exist the feedback mechanism of system evolution.