广西产业结构的影响因素及优化对策研究——基于灰色关联分析法

Guangxi industrial structure of the influence factors and the optimization countermeasures study——based on gray correlation analysis method

改革开放以来,我国产业结构发展稳定有序,在此大环境下广西地区的产业结构进程则十分复杂,背离了产业结构的健康发展规律。本文根据产业结构的变动因素理论,从供给、需求和对外贸易三个方面研究它们对产业结构变动的影响程度,并运用灰色关联分析法,得出影响广西地区产业结构变动的前三个主要影响因素分别为区内产业转移投资额、地区进出口总额和区内消费水平。对于如何优化广西产业结构,本文认为:一是抓住东部地区产业转移机遇,重点承接第二产业企业,同时抵御投机性投资对本地产业结构的消极影响;二是依靠出口市场,优化出口商品结构,重点扶植当地制造业;三是采取措施提高居民收入,同时政府对农村居民给予消费补贴,扩大居民消费。

Since the reform and opening up, The development of industrial structure of our country stable and or- derly, in the circumstances, the region of Guangxi industrial structure process is very complicated, departure from the industrial structure of the health law of development. On the basis of this issue,we acc6rding to the change of industrial structure factors theory, from the three aspects of supply, demand and foreign trade to study the impact of changes in the industrial structure, and the use of gray relational analysis, which impact the industrial structure of the Guangxi re- gion changes in the first three main factors for the local industry to transfer the investment, the regional total imports and exports and consumption level in the region. Finally, according to the three main factors, the paper puts forward the optimization of industrial structure in Guangxi suggestion： First, hold the eastern industrial transfer opportunities, main- ly to undertake industrial enterprise, while also combating the negative effects of the speculative investments of the lo- cal industrial structure; Second, relying on the export market, optimize the structure of export commodities, focusing on fostering the domestic manufacturing industry; third, adopt measures to improve the residents＇ income, while govern- ment consumption subsidies give rural residents, and expand consumer.