试论经济周期的历史发展——兼及中国经济周期的发展趋势

The Historical Development of Economic Cycles: Also on the Trends of Chinese Economic Cycles

本文系统分析了封建社会自然条件下、资本主义市场经济条件下以及我国计划经济体制和市场取向改革条件下经济周期的历史发展,并展望了我国经济周期将实现从中波周期到轻波周期的转变。

This paper systematically analyzes the historical development of economic cycles under natural conditions of feudal societies, market economic conditions of capitalism, and the conditions of reform from planned economy to market oriented economy in our country. The paper also projects that there will be a change in economic cycles in our country from middle wave cycles to light wave cycles.