基于引力模型的中韩双边贸易本地市场效应研究

Research of the Home Market Effect of Sino-Korea Bilateral Trade Based on the Gravity Model

文章借鉴Schumacher提出的引力模型，利用1992～2010年的中韩贸易数据估计了两国贸易中可能存在的本地市场效应。结果表明，在SITC一位数10大类产品中有6类存在显著的本地市场效应，在SITC一位数35类制造业产品中有15类存在显著的本地市场效应。本地市场效应已经成为中国对韩出口中最重要的比较优势源泉之一。中国政府应该调整贸易政策，对外要继续加强市场竞争力，对内要深度挖掘国内市场，充分发挥本地市场效应的作用，保持我国对外贸易的持续稳定发展。

Using Schumacher＇s gravity model, this paper measures the home market effect of Sino-Korea bilateral trade based on the trade data from 1992 to 2010. The results show that there are five products existing the home market effect among ten products, and in thirty-five manufacturing industry products, there are sixteen products existing the home market effect. The home market effect has become one of the most important resources of comparative advantages. This means that Chinese trade policy should pay more attention to tapping the domestic market, and take full advantage of the home market effect to promote China＇s export, so as to maintain the steady development of China＇s foreign trade.