西部少数民族聚居地区人口新特征及发展趋势——以新疆喀什地区为例

New Features and Trends of Population in Western Ethnic Minority Communities:A Case of Kashgar Prefecture

新疆喀什是我国维吾尔族人数最多,比例最高的民族聚居地区,维吾尔族占总人口90.6%。以喀什地区为例,全面分析了少数民族聚居地区人口发展新特征和存在的主要问题,通过建立模型对喀什地区人口发展趋势进行预测,提出了少数民族聚居地区人口发展对策。

Xinjiang Kashgar is the ethnic community with 90.6% of the Uyghur,which has the biggest population and the highest rate of Uyghur in China. Taking Kashgar as an example, the paper studied on the new features of population in western ethnic minority communities in China and resulted from the problem. Meanwhile, the predictive modeling have been used to forecast the trend of the population growth in future. Comprehensive reference is provided for making the development strategyin western ethnic minority communities.