摘要
2012年中国玉米产量创下20561万t的历史新高,201213年度进口玉米到货预计达到280万t,而国内玉米市场采购需求不旺,市场供应增幅超过采购需求增幅,尽管国家收购近3100万t临储玉米,但市场价格依旧呈现高位走低局面。2013年国内玉米播种面积增加,产量有望再获丰收,进口玉米预计同比大幅提高,而市场采购需求预计难有明显起色,预计201314年度国内玉米市场延续供过于求局面。国家明确2013年继续实施临储玉米收购政策,并将临储玉米收购价格提高120元t,这奠定了未来市场价格的底部区间。
China＇s maize output reached a record high of 205.61 million tons in 2012, the arrival of imported maize was expected to reach 2.8 million tons in 2012/13, but supply growth was more than purchasing demand growth in domestic market, with tepid demand for maize market procurement. Although national maize temporary storage volume was nearly 31 million tons, but trend of market prices was slowly down from high level. Maize market supply will be more than demand in 2013/14, for China＇s maize production will reach a record in 2013 with increasing planting areas, and imported maize will increase significantly year on year while significant improvement of procurement needs will be difficult. States explicitly in 2013 will continue implementing temporary storage of maize acquisition policy, its price will increase 120 RMB per ton, which lay the bottom of future market prices.
出处
《农业展望》
2013年第8期11-15,21,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
玉米
产量
供应
消费
进口
淀粉
酒精
maize
production
supply
consumption
import
starch
ethanol
