中国是否应该继续支持出口导向型的经济增长模式——基于亚洲国家出口需求方程的实证分析

Whether China Should Continue to Support Export-oriented Growth Mode ——Based on the Empirical Analysis of the Export Demand Equation in Asian Countries

2005年汇改以后中国的出口企业受到了很大的冲击,"人民币升值预期综合症"造成的热钱涌入和政府因为外需不足启动的扩张性经济政策一定程度上造成了国内的流动性过剩和资产价格虚高,对中国经济增长发挥巨大作用的出口导向型政策是否还适合于中国的未来成为人们关心的问题。文章发现出口作为亚洲发展中国家经济增长的引擎不管是在现在还是在一段时间后的未来都是适合于中国等亚洲国家的,出口补贴、特别优惠和税收优惠等促进出口的政策对经济增长产生了积极的作用,应受到鼓励并继续坚持。

China＇ s export enterprises received a great impact after the reform in 2005, caused by the expectation of RMB ap- preciation syndrome the influx of hot money and government because of a certain degree of expansionary economic policies launched on insufficient external demand caused the excessive domestic liquidity and asset prices, the export-oriented policy played a significant role in China＇ s economic growth was also suitable for China＇ s future concern. This paper found that ex- ports as the engine of economic growth are suitable for Asian countries such as China at now or in the future, and export subsi- dies, special offers and tax preferential export promotion policy on economic growth had a positive role, should be encouraged and continue to adhere to.