中国六部门可计算非线性动态投入产出模型的平衡增长解

The Balanced Growth Solution of Chinese 6-Sector Nonlinear Computable Dynamic Input Output Model

依中国六部门静态投入产出表及中国统计年鉴实际数据构造出中国六部门可计算非线性动态投入产出模型 ,给出平衡增长轨道上价格、利润率、增长率、产出结构等的计算公式 .该模型的特殊情况即为众所周知的列昂惕夫线性动态投入产出模型及相应计算公式 .本模型的重要意义在于 :它是线性投入产出模型与可计算一般均衡 ( CGE)模型的统一 .它既克服了线性投入产出模型资本与劳动不可替代的缺点 ,又克服了

The Chinese 6\|sector nonlinear dynamic input output model is constructed by practice data which come from China statistical yearbook and China Static 6\| sector I\|O table. The methods for calculating the prices, the profit rate, the growth rate, and the output level of products are given in this paper when this system is on the balanced growth path. The special case of this model just is the Leontief linear I\|O model. The major shortage of linear Leontief I\|O model is that the capital and labor can not be substituted. The major shortage of most common CGE(computable general equilibrium) models is that they can only solve static equilibrium solution theoretically. Above shortages have been overcome with the method in this paper.