中国省域人力资本与经济增长耦合关系的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Coupling Relationship between Human Capital and Economic Growth in Chinese Provinces

本文基于系统耦合原理,构建了人力资本与经济增长交互作用的耦合模型,从理论上分析两者的耦合优化原理,并实证测算与解析我国人力资本与经济增长之间的耦合变动特征。结果表明,我国各省份人力资本与经济增长的耦合度始终处于较低水平,并呈现由东至西递减的态势,同时区域间存在耦合趋同。值得一提的是,本文通过借鉴适宜性理论对各区域的适宜性耦合跃迁模式进行了初步探讨,并认为东部地区及东北地区应更加注重人力资本的自主创新能力,而中西部地区应注重人力资本对先进技术的吸收模仿能力。

By constructing a coupling model of the interaction of human capital and economic growth based on the principle of system coupling, this paper deduces the optimum principle of coupling, and then estimates and analyzes the characteris- tics of coupling changes between human capital and economic growth in China. The results show that the level of coupling value is low and decreasing from the east to the west. And there do exist the trend of coupling convergence among regions. It is worthy mentioning that this paper discusses about the patterns of coupling transi- tion by drawing on the theory of appropriateness, thinking that the east and the northeast should pay more attention to the capability of independent innovation of human capital, while the central and western regions should focus on the ability to absorb advanced technology.