摘要
受持续的财政紧缩计划、缓慢的结构性改革、频繁的银行业危机以及希腊等国政局变动等因素影响,欧元区整体经济呈现进一步衰退趋势,主权信用环境面临再度恶化的风险。我们认为,未来短期内欧元区经济增长乏力趋势难以扭转,财政整顿、重振银行财务体系等深化改革措施依然任重道远,主权信用维持脆弱基本面,核心及外围国家主权信用将维持分化趋势。
Subject to ongoing austerity program, slow structural reforms, frequent banking crises and the political changes in Greece and other countries, the economy in Euro zone as a whole shows further declining trend, and the sovereign credit environment is to face the risk of relapse. We believe that the trend of weak economic growth in Euro zone in a short term will be difficult to reverse, that the financial measures to deepen reform such as fiscal con- solidation and reviving the banking financial system will have a long way to go, that sovereign credit fundamentals will remain weak, and that the sovereign credit tendency of the core and peripheral countries will be differentiated.
出处
《征信》
北大核心
2013年第8期12-15,共4页
Credit Reference
关键词
欧元区
信用风险
主权信用
经济前景
财政实力
Euro zone
credit risks
sovereign credit
economic outlook
financial strength