人民币升值对我国不同性质企业出口贸易的影响

The Effects of RMB Appreciation on Export of Different Type of Enterprises

汇率变化是影响一国对外贸易收支的重要因素,那么不同性质的企业外贸出口所受影响如何?是否具有一定的差异性?利用2005年7月至2008年10月我国出口贸易的月度数据,基于SVAR模型进行实证分析,结果发现:人民币升值会导致国有企业出口所占比减少;外资企业的出口所占比短期内会增加,但长期稳定后还是会减少;短期内私营企业的出口所占比会下降,但在长期会上升,是唯一能够逆行而上的企业。

Changes in exchange rate has great impact on a country＇s foreign trade balance. Are there any differences in the impact on the export of different ownership enterprises？ We make empirical analysis based on SVAR model and the monthly export data from July 2005 to October 2008, and find the folloioing： the appreciation of RMB will reduce the state-owned enterprises export proportion;the export proportion of for- eign capital enterprises will increase in the short-term, but will reduce in the long time;however, the pri- vate enterprises export proportion will reduce in the short-term but will increase in the long time. Private enterprises is the only type which can go upstream.