区域经济增长影响因素:基于成长模型的研究

The Research on the Factors Affecting Regional Economic Growth:Based on the Development Model

各地区间的经济增长差异除受生产要素影响外,路径依赖也是一个重要因素。成长模型既可以研究不同区域经济增长的路径依赖,也可以同时反映各生产要素对区域经济增长的影响。采用成长模型研究了中国各省区经济增长情况,研究结果表明,各省区之间经济增长路径存在共同趋势,但也具有明显的个体差异。个体差异主要是由于生产要素差异造成的,就业人数和资本存量主要影响增长曲线的曲度,其中资本存量的影响远远大于就业人数的影响。

Expect ibr production factors, the path dependence also is an important influence iactor to the regional e-conomic growth. The growth model not only can study the regional economic growth path dependence, also can re-flect the influence of production factors to regional economic growth. Using the development model, this article ana-lyzes the economic growth for the 31 province in mainland of China. The results show that： there is common trend for the path of economic growth among the provinces, However, it has significant individual differences. The indi-vidual differences mainly come from the factors of production, the employment and capital stock mainly impact the curvature of the growth curve, the impact of the capital stock is far greater than that of the employment.