河北省县际农业经济时空变化分析

Analysis on spatio-temporal differences of inter-county agricultural economy in Hebei province

运用探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)全局和局部自相关分析方法,以河北省2002—2011年县(市)人均农林牧渔总产值和人均农民收入的数据为基础,对河北省县际农业经济的时空变化情况进行了分析。结果表明:河北省县际农业经济的指标均具有正的空间相关特性,表现出很强的空间集聚特征,人均农林牧渔总产值相对于人均农民纯收入时空变化明显。最后提出了形成分布合理的农业经济综合体、加快农村土地流转等促进河北省农业经济均衡发展的对策建议。

Using the method of exploratory spatial data analysis（ESDA） of global and local autocorrelation analysis,based on the data of per capita gross agricultural output value and per capita income of farmers each county in Hebei province from 2002 to 2011,this paper analyses the temporal-spatial variation of the agricultural economy in Hebei province.The results showed that： county agricultural economic indicators has a positive spatial correlation properties in Hebei province,and exhibits strong characteristics of spatial agglomeration,and per capita gross agricultural output value with respect to changes in the per capita net income of farmers time obviously.Finally,this paper put forward countermeasures and suggestions of the formation of reasonable distribution of agricultural economy complex and accelerating the transfer of rural land for promoting the balanced development of the agricultural economy in Hebei province.