非均衡视角下城镇化的内需效应分析——基于分位数回归

A Study on Domestic Demand Effect of Urbanization from the Unbalanced Perspective——Based on Quantile Regression Model

随着城镇化的战略意义日益突显,充分释放城镇化的内需效应成为我国经济发展的重要问题。文章通过构建"S—P—E"城镇化均衡模型,探讨了城镇化非均衡对内需失衡的冲击机理,运用分位数回归方法,度量了空间城镇化与人口城镇化的均衡、就业城镇化与人口城镇化的均衡分别对内需失衡的冲击影响,进而厘清非均衡视角下城镇化的内需效应。

With the strategic significance of urbanization increasingly protruding,fully releasing the domestic demand effect of urbanization has become an important economic problem.This paper makes the ＂ S-P-E＂ unbalanced model of urbanization,studies the impact mechanism of unbalanced urbanization on domestic demand,and uses quantile regression to analyze the respective impacts of balance between space urbanization and population urbanization and the balance between employment urbanization and population on the unbalance of domestic demand.And the paper further clarifies the domestic demand effect of urbanization from the unbalanced perspective.