物流产业发展对我国进出口贸易的推动作用研究——基于GMM的分析方法

Study on Promotional Effect of Logistics Industry for Importing and Exporting Trade of China:Based on GMM Analysis

基于2001-2010年我国省级面板数据,通过引入时间虚拟变量控制了特殊年份外部冲击对我国进出口贸易的影响,利用广义矩估计(GMM)方法,对物流产业发展的进出口贸易效应进行实证检验。结论发现:物流产业推动了我国进出口贸易的发展,其弹性介于0.130-0.209之间。

In this paper, on the basis of the provincial panel data of China between 2001 and 2010, we used the GMM method to test empirically the development of the logistics industry on importing and exporting trade and concluded that the former promoted the development of the latter, the elasticity of which lied between 0.130 and 0.209.