人口迁移承接与珠三角城市经济社会结构演变的耦合

Study on the Coupled about Population Migration to Undertake and the Evolution of the Pearl River Delta City Economic and Social Structure

通过梳理珠三角外来迁移人口的特征,发现长期以来,珠三角都是我国承接迁移人口最多的区域,并且增长速度快,就业结构高级化,空间分布比较集中。通过Granger检验发现,外来迁移人口与经济发展水平和产业结构先进性之间存在单向的Granger因果关系;通过耦合协调模型实证研究发现,外来迁移人口数量与珠三角多数城市经济结构之间存在很高的耦合协调关系,与少数城市城市化水平之间存在较高的耦合协调关系,与多数城市的社会结构之间耦合协调关系较弱。

With the mass migration of people, obvious changes have taken place in the economic structure and social structure of china, as the reform and opening up to the region of the Pearl River Delta region, the change is more obvious. In this paper, through combing the characteristics of floating population in the Pearl River Delta,＇ found that over a long period of time, the Pearl River Delta is China＇s most populous region to undertake the transfer, and the growth speed, high employment structure, more concentrated distribution. Through Granger test, there is a unidirectional Granger causality between foreign population migration and economic development level and the advanced industrial structure; through the coupling coordination model of empirical re.search found that, there exists a very high coupling relationship between the number of foreign migrant population and economic structure most city of the Pearl River Delta, the coupling relationship is higher between urbanization level of few city, the coupling relationship is weak between the level of most city social structure.