大城市物流需求变化的综合评价与规律研究——基于7个副省级城市的实证分析

Comprehensive Evaluation and Analysis on the Changing of Metropolis Logistics Demand—From the Empirical Data of the Seven Vice-Provincial City

城市物流需求变化规律是城市物流网络规划及物流节点空间布局的重要基础。在成都、深圳、南京、武汉、西安、青岛、长春7个副省级城市中物流需求的规模、质量、效率与效益指标选取基础上,将类比分析、工业化进程划分、比例换算与关联度分析结合,分析物流需求变化规律。结果表明:处于不同工业化、城市化发展阶段的城市,物流需求变化存在共性规律;物流业与工业化进程、城市化率关系紧密,是推动新型工业化、新型城镇化建设的重要支撑;物流业对就业的支撑与带动作用有助于物流需求的规模、质量、效率与效益提升。

Recognizing the changing of city logistics demand is important foundation in the process of city logistics network planning and logistics node space layout. Based on the logistics demand scale, quality, efficiency and effectiveness indicators selection for Chengdu, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Wuhan, Xi＇an, Qingdao, Changchun, this paper combine the analogy analysis, the process of industrialization, radiometry conversion with correlation analysis, the result shows that there are certain laws of logistics demand changes in various stages of industrialization, urbanization of cities. The logistics industry have close ties to industrialization, the urbanization, which is crucial support for new industrialization, new urbanization construction. Logistics support and leading role for the employment can help to rationalize logistics demand scale, quality, efficiencies and effectiveness.