中国城市化对农村居民平均消费倾向影响的收入效应与示范效应:2000年～2009年

The Income Effect and Demonstration Effect of Urbanization on Rural Inhabitant Average Propensity to Consume in China: 2000 - 2009

笔者运用2000年～2009年的省际面板数据，采用固定效应模型，对城市化与农村消费的关系进行深入考察；通过收入结构与消费结构分解，对城市化进程中的收入效应及示范效应进行衡量。结果表明，城市化进程确实对农村消费水平具有显著的提升作用，并且在欠发达的西部地区，提升效应更明显；城市化对农村消费的收入效应主要通过工资收入渠道起作用；城市化进程中的示范效应主要通过非刚性消费品拉动农村消费增长。最后，笔者从实证结果出发，提出促进农村平均消费水平上升的城市化渠道的深层次含义，并提出相关政策建议。

This paper examinea the relationship between urbanization and rural consumption in China by the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2009. The income effect and demonstration effect raised in the process of urbanization are measured through decompositing the income structure and consumption structure. It is found that urbanization has significant pulling effect, which is especially strong in the poor west region, on APC in rural China. We also establish the wage income channel as main way for income effect. In addition, it tells that demonstration effect works on non-rigid consumption. Lastly, after explaining the empirical findings, the paper considers the deep implications for the expansion of rural consumption demand through urbanization, and then proposes policies and further research