昆明旅游气候舒适度与客流量相关性分析

Correlative analysis of climate comfort and variation of tourists in Kunming city

利用旅游气候舒适度综合指数模型,计算得出昆明不仅舒适期长,更属全国少有的"四季如春"型旅游城市.受气候舒适性和节假日双重因素影响,昆明客流量年内变化以4—8月、10—12月为入境游客旅游旺季,2月、7—11月为国内游客旅游旺季.通过对节假日等因素赋值处理,运用最小二乘法建立昆明客流量与旅游气候舒适度之间的回归方程,结果显示两者之间存在显著相关性.

This paper uses the tourism climate comfort composite index model and concludes that Kunming enjoys not only a long period of climate comfort but ranks among the rare cities in China in terms of ＂spring - like in the four seasons＂. Affected by the dual factors of climate comfort and holidays, the monthly variation of inbound tour- ists in Kunming usually reaches its peak season from April to August and October to December, while that of do- mestic tourists from July to November and February. Through the assignment processing of festive holidays and other factors, the paper uses the least square method to establish regression equations between the variation of tourists in Kunming and tourism climate comfort, and the results have showed that there is a significant correlation.