我国居民劳动报酬增长的阶段性与同步性研究

Study on Phases and Synchronization of Growth of China's Labor Remuneration

劳动力供求的变化使我国可能在2015年以后进入劳动报酬的高增长期。届时劳动报酬占比较低的状况可能得到改善,但在劳动报酬总量持续增长的同时,人均劳动报酬将会陷入一个低增长期,原因主要在于低水平的人力资本积累、低效率的产业结构转型、老龄化及忽视员工的企业经营伦理。因此,实现劳动报酬总量与人均水平同步增长的关键在于培育一个包含政府、企业、劳动者,充满有效的动力、激励和约束机制的社会系统模式。

China may enter the high growth period of aggregate labor remuneration after2015 as the Changes in labor supply and demand, when the labor compensation share of relatively low status may be improved, but the per capita labor remuneration may enter in a low growth period because of the low level of human capital accumulation, industrial structure evolution inefficient, the acceleration of aging and enterprises business ethics of ignoring staff development. The key to realize synchronous growth is cultivating a social system model including government, enterprises, workers and effective motivation,incentive and restraint mechanisms.