宏观经济学研究的动态随机一般均衡方法

Macroeconomic Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Method

动态随机一般均衡分析是当前主流宏观经济学研究的最新方法,它开端于实际周期理论,由新古典主义宏观经济学派提出,但也为新凯恩斯主义学派所接受。DSGE从单个经济行为主体的跨期理性决策出发分析经济体全局,将长期与短期分析有机地结合起来,可以展示宏观经济变量动态变化的时间路径,因而得到了广泛的应用。

At present, the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium （DSGE） is the latest research method in mainstream macroeconomics, which originated from the Real Business Cycle Theory, and was advanced by the New Classical Macroeconomist and also accepted by the New Keynesian School. Starting from the intertemporal rational decision made by an individual economic subject, DSGE analyzes the overall ecomomy, combining analysis of short- and long-term outcomes, so as to show the time path of dynamic macroeconomic variables, which has thus been widely used.