我国省域人力资本对经济增长贡献的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Contribution of Human Capital to Economic Growth in China

教育和健康是人力资本的两大基石,本文通过教育年限法和教育成本法,构造出就业人口的脑力、身体和综合素质三种指标,并利用卢卡斯人力资本溢出模型和有效劳动模型,对1982—2011年我国省城面板数据进行估计,初步核算了人力资本对经济增长的贡献率。结果表明,我国仍处于资本推动型的粗放式经济增长阶段,应继续加大教育、医疗投入,提高人力资本水平及其利用率,以促进经济的持续健康发展。

Education and health are two cornerstones of human capital. The article constructs three indicators-mental, physical and overall quality through the method of ＂year of education＂ and ＂cost of education＂. And then by employing the human capital overflow model and the valid labor model,we estimate the panel data of China from 1982 to 2011, and account the output contribution of human capital to economic growth. Results show that China is still at the stage of economic growth driven by capital investment. So we should increase the investment of education and health care,and improve the level and the use ratio of human capital in order to make the economy develop steadily and healthily.