大国政府消费需求对经济增长的影响——基于中国省际面板数据的分析

Influence of Government Consumption Demands on Economic Growth——Based on Analysis of Provincial Panel Data in China

在经济危机后时代的大背景下,出口需求受阻,通过刺激包括政府消费的内需,拉动经济增长尤显重要。本文以中国为例,基于经典经济增长分析框架扩展,利用面板数据模型分析政府消费对经济增长的作用,在控制资本和劳动投入要素变量后,结论认为政府消费对经济增长具有促进作用,进一步,考虑居民消费和不变价的因素后,政府消费的刺激作用减弱,但作用仍显著。最后本文对促进政府消费提出政策性的建议。

In the background of post economic crisis, the demand for exports is blocked, so it is important to stimulate the domestic demand, including stimulating government consumption, to increase economic growth. This paper uses the panel data of China to analyze the impact of government consumption on economic growth. It is concluded that the government consumption has a positive effect on the economic growth. Further, taking into account the influencing factors of household consumption, the paper holds that government consumption stimulation effect has weakened, but is still significant. Finally, this paper puts forward policy recommendations to promote government consumption.