滑坡预报研究方法综述

Summary on the Methods of Prediction to Landslide

目前常用的各种滑坡预报的理论和方法很多 ,其中斋藤迪孝模型、灰色预报模型 (1 .1 )、Pearl生物生长模型和非线性相关分析模型又是预报理论更为充分、研究较为深入、预报效果更有效的方法 ;对各种方法的的原理、适用条件和优缺点进行了剖析。同时 。

In this paper, the popular theories and methods of forecasting failure time of landslide are summarized and concluded. The Saito Model, Grey Model, Pearl Growth Model and Nonlinear Analysis Model are discussed and analyzed under principle, suitable condition and advantage and shortcoming. By the way the other methods are introduced.