中国“入世”后的中美贸易前景

Sino-US Trade in Prospect after WTO

中国“入世”后必将对中美贸易关系产生深远影响。本文通过简要分析２０年来中美贸易关系发展状况，运用理论和实证分析，深入探讨中美两国贸易发展的前景。认为中国“入世”后，如果中美关系和双边贸易政策不出现大的反复，中美贸易将保持年均增幅 ２０％以上的发展速度，预计到 ２００５年中美贸易额将超千亿美元。

China' s entry into WTO will definitely have profound impact on Sino - US trade. Examining the development of Sino-US trade over the past 20 years with theoretic and positive analysis, this paper looks into the prospects of Sino-US trade development. The author considers that if there will be no serious big setback in sino-US relationship and bilateral trade policy after China's entry into WTO, Sino-US trade will keep an average annual increase by 20%. Consequently their trade volume is expected to exceed more than one hundred billion US dollars by the year of 2005.