新生代农民工愿意留在打工城市吗——家庭、户籍与人力资本的作用

Are the New Generation of Chinese Migrant Workers Willing to Stay in the Working City? the Influence of Home,Household Registry and Human Capital

本文利用8959名新生代农民工监测数据对其留在打工城市的意愿和影响因素进行了深入的分析。结果表明,除了教育、健康这些可能表征人力资本的特征外,家庭和户籍也是影响新生代农民工留在打工城市的重要因素。在利用住房来源、家庭成员分别表示物质层次和精神层次的家庭后发现,物质层次的家庭对新生代农民工留在打工城市的意愿影响更大。本文的政策含义是,中国如果要健康有序地推进城市化进程,让新生代农民工逐渐迁到城市居住,满足其基本生存需求——居者有其屋——将是非常重要的政策手段。

This paper has conducted an in-depth analysis on people's willingness to stay in the working city and factors influencing it by using the monitoring data of 8959 new generation of migrant workers. It shows that except from education and health,which are the features of human capital,home and household registry are also the important factors influencing the willingness of new generation of migrant workers to stay in their working cities. By using housing sources and family members to represent 'material homes'and 'spiritual homes'respectively,this paper finds that 'material homes'influence more the willingness of new generation of migrant workers to stay in their working cities. The policy implication is that if China wants to promote urbanization healthily and orderly,we should enable those migrant workers of new generation to move to live in cities gradually and satisfy their basic needs for survival. Home ownership scheme may be the very important policy means to it.