我国研究生教育科类结构与经济、科技发展协调性的实证研究——基于协整理论的视角

An Empirical Study on Coordination of Economy,Technology and Discipline Structure of Graduate Education in China:Based on the Cointegration Theory

研究生教育科类结构与经济、科技发展的协调性可通过描绘因素间的长期稳定关系、内生纠偏机制以及相互作用情况来表征。基于协整理论,协整方程、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验可对以上三方面进行有效探测。实证结果表明:整体上看,我国研究生教育科类结构与经济产业结构、科技发展之间存在着显著的协调性特征,各产业和科技的发展会显著促进各科类研究生教育的发展,三者自发地产生纠偏机制对各科类研究生教育和各产业的发展速度进行调控,同时因素间呈现显著的两两互动作用。具体至各科类,它们与对应产业、科技的协调发展方式以及协调程度有所不同,农学研究生教育与农业、科技的协调程度最低,工学略强,其他科类(除工学和农学外的科类)最强。

The coordination of economy, technology and the discipline structure of graduate educa- tion could be expressed in terms of long-term stable relationship, endogenous correction mechanism and mutual effects among the three factors. According to the cointegration theory, cointegetion equation, error correction model and Granger causality test could detect the coordination. Our empirical study suggested that economy, technology and the discipline structure of graduate education in China are sig- nificantly coordinated overall. However, the form and degree of coordination depend on the discipline, with the coordination weakest for agronomy, slightly stronger for engineering, and strongest for the other disciplines.