进入规制、产业横向整合与产业发展——基于中国光伏多晶硅产业的模拟解释被引量：2

Entry Regulation,Horizontal Integration and Industrial Development——A‘History-friendly Model'of the PV Polycrystalline Silicon Industry

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摘要本文引入大、小企业假定,以及符合我国多晶硅产业特点的创新方式和大企业的兼并活动构建"History-friendly"模拟模型,模拟2006—2015年进入规制政策和产业横向整合对市场集中度、平均价格加成和企业倒闭率的影响。结果显示,在未来需求增长的环境下,进入规制政策降低了多晶硅产业市场集中度和平均价格加成;而产业横向整合提高了多晶硅市场集中度,在需求增长率低于一定限度时,明显降低了平均价格加成和企业倒闭率。 The paper explores the effect of entry regulation and horizontal integration on the ratio of market concentration, price make- up and collapse rate of Chinese PV polycrystalline silicon industry. For this purpose, this paper develops a ＇ history friendly model＇ for PV polycrystalline silicon industry that replicates the history of the industry by simulation. The simulation analysis found the entry regula- tion has a long-term effect and the horizontal integration would reduce collapse rate and maintain industry security.

作者董瀛飞张倩肖

机构地区西安交通大学经济与金融学院

出处《中国科技论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第10期74-80,共7页 Forum on Science and Technology in China

关键词 “History—friendly”模拟进入规制产业横向整合 ＇ History-friendly＇ simulation Entry regulation Horizontal integration

分类号 F42 [经济管理—产业经济] F410 [经济管理—产业经济]

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