山西省旅游业发展影响因子的灰色关联分析

Grey Correlative Analyses on Factors Affecting Tourism Development in Shanxi Province

选取人均GDP、第三产业GDP、城镇居民可支配收入等14个因子,并将其分为经济、交通、旅游宣传因素等6个方面,对山西省旅游业发展影响因子进行关联分析.研究表明影响山西省旅游业发展的主要因素为旅游宣传、教育文化及旅游服务,同一区域各因子的关联度及排序会随时间发生变化;同一时间段,不同区域制约其旅游业发展的主导因素不同.秉承为地方旅游业健康发展提供科学决策参考的宗旨,提出了建议与对策.

Selecting the per capita GDP, tertiary industry GDP, disposable income of urban residents etc and dividing them into financial support, traffic, tourism promotion etc. This paper executed correlation analysis on factors affecting tourism development in Shanxi Province. Studies have shown that the main factors affecting tourism development in Shartxi Province are tourism promotion, education, culture and tourism services. For the same region, the correlation of each factor and the sort will change over time. During the same time period, for different regions the dominant factors of restricting the development of tourism are different too. To solve the problem, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for the healthy development of tourism economy to provide sci- entific reference for the decision-making.