摘要
本文运用偏离-份额方法并使用最新的国际贸易数据对国际贸易中出口的商品结构和竞争力进行了分析。本研究显示,中国的出口商品竞争力相对于德国和美国依然具有优势,总体上中国的农产品、能源和矿产、制造品三类商品的竞争力发展结构合理,未来一段时间竞争力大起大落的风险可能较小,但是2005-2011年中国贸易综合竞争力份额连续下降的趋势也值得密切关注。
This paper analyzed the commodity structure and competitiveness in the exports by using the shift-share method and the latest data. The results showed that China still remained higher export competitiveness than Germany and the United States. Overall the export competitiveness of the agricultural products, fuels and mining products and manufactures had a reasonable development, and had a low risk of volatility in the near future. But continuous downward trend of the share of comprehensive trade competitiveness of China also deserved close attention from 2005 to 2011.
出处
《统计研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第9期44-49,共6页
Statistical Research
基金
北京市哲学社会科学规划项目“国际贸易与贸易政策周期研究”(10BAJG357)
首都经济贸易大学国内外联合研究生培养基地项目资助
关键词
偏离-份额
出口竞争力
商品结构
shift-share
export competitiveness
commodity structure
