基于层次分析法的农村居民点整理可实现潜力研究

Study on Realistic Potential of Land Consolidation in Rural Residential Areas Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Method

为了有效评估农村居民点整理潜力,指导农村居民点整理顺利进行,以伊通县农村居民点整理潜力为研究对象,围绕农村居民点整理的影响因素,从影响农村居民点整理的自然、社会和经济条件等方面,选取14个影响指标,采用层次分析法确定各影响指标的权重,得出综合评价体系的评价系数。运用评价系数计算出农村居民点可实现潜力。结果表明：（1）截止2015年,伊通县农村居民点整理可实现潜力为3031.10 hm2,整理后可新增耕地系数25.02%;（2）各乡镇评价系数介于0.19~0.61之间,营城子镇评价系数最大,为0.61,新兴乡最小,为0.19;（3）在整理时序上,将可实现潜力与新增耕地系数综合考虑,应优先重点安排潜力大,新增耕地系数大的乡镇。

In order to assess the potential of rural residential consolidation effectively and guide the process as well, the author took the rural residential consolidation in Yitong County as the study object, and selected 14 impact indexes involved from the natural, social and economic conditions based on the common factors that affected the rural residential consolidation and used analytic hierarchy process （AHP） to determine the weights of each index, then the evaluation coefficients of the system were obtained. And the author used it to calculate the realistic potential of rural residential consolidation. The results showed that： （1） after consolidation, the realistic potential of land consolidation in rural residential areas of Yitong County would be 3031.10 hm2 and the coefficient of increasing arable land would be 25.02% until 2015; （2） the evaluation coefficients of rural residential consolidation in Yitong County lied between 0.19-0.61. The maximum appears in Yingchengzi Town and the minimum appeared in Xinxing Township; （3） the sequence between the realistic potential and the coefficient of increasing arable larger coefficient were in preference to the others. of consolidation was in consideration land. Towns of higher potential and