摘要
简单介绍了太阳黑子预报中“相似周”的概念及其应用，利用对第20、21周的模拟预报验证了该方法的可靠性，对第23周开始后逐月黑子数的实测值与由该方法给出的预测值进行了比较，表明该方法有其特点和应用价值．
A conception of 'Similar Cycle' and its application to predictions of monthlymean and smoothed monthly mean sunspot numbers are introduced in this paper.A test of the method for cycles 20 and 21 and a comparison of the observations withthe predicted monthly sunspot numbers of the first part of cycle 23 shows that themethod is in practice.
出处
《空间科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2000年第3期278-281,共4页
Chinese Journal of Space Science
基金
国家自然科学基金!49990451
19833030
