河南省产业结构演进与机理探究

Evolutionary Characteristics and Mechanism of Henan's Industrial Structure

采用产业经济学和地理学的相关指标和方法,分析河南省1986—2011年的产业结构特征。研究表明:①产业结构高级化。1986—2011年河南省产业结构的高级化既表现为河南省整体产业结构高级化,也表现为各市产业结构的高级化。目前河南省产业结构相当于发达国家1920年代的水平。②三次产业结构非均衡发展的趋势明显,三次产业内部结构较为单一,有多样化趋势。③三次产业与全国相比同构化较为明显,但近年来同构现象有所减弱。④河南省产业结构和就业结构不协调,有待优化。⑤第二产业为河南省经济发展主要推动力,对GDP贡献率最大,但主要集中在劳动密集型行业,第二产业和第三产业内需要产业优化升级。影响河南省产业结构演进主要有以下因素:劳动力、政策、制造业转移、社会需求、传统农业生产惯性和知识与技术的创新与应用等。

Using indicators of industrial economics and methods in econometrics and geography, the paper analyzed industrial structure of Henan Province from the year 1986 to 2011. These conclusions are as follows： （1） There was the advanced change of industrial structure, which was showed not only by the whole Henan Province＇ s industrial structure, but also by its 18 cities. Which was a very important trend during the 1920s. （2） There was an unbalanced development trend in the whole industrial structure, the internal structure of each industry was simplified, and however there was a trend to diversity. （3） There was a situation of an isomorphic feature between the level of the whole country and Henan Province, but the isomorphic phenomenon was being weakened in recent years. （4） The industrial structure did not accord with the employment structure at that time, which needs to be optimized in Henan Province. （5） The second industry was the main driving force of economic development in Henan Province, and which became the largest proportion to GDP. However, it was mainly concentrated in labor-intensive industry. The second and third industries needed an optimization and upgrading. These factors that influenced the development of industrial structure in Henan Province were as the following： labors, policies, the transformations of manufactures, social needs, the production inertia of traditional agricultural and the innovation and application of knowledge and technology and so on.