摘要
本文着重分析临界赤字率和政府债务负担率的上限 ,并根据中国的经验数据估计了我国的临界赤字率和国债上限水平。然后 ,按照国际标准 ,估算了我国政府目前的全部债务总额 ,并对中国 2 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 3年继续实行积极财政政策对国债负担率和政府综合债务负担率的影响进行了测算 ,发现我国还有相当的发债空间。
This paper induced a critical deficit ratio and debt GDP ratio,with their value estimated according to Chinese empirical data,compared with China governments all debts-GDP ratio including quasipublic debt,which justify the continuance of more active fiscal policy in at least next three years
关键词
中国
国债
财政政策
临界赤字率
财政负担率
capital accumulation
critical deficit ratio
upper extreme-bound for debt-income ratio
