摘要
近几年甜椒价格出现了较为频繁的波动,该文在回顾农产品价格波动相关研究的基础上,利用X-12-ARIMA季节调整方法分别对甜椒生产价格和消费价格的时间序列进行季节调整后作趋势分析和建模分析,从而揭示甜椒价格波动的内在机制。
The price of sweet pepper has been more frequently fluctuated in recent years. Based on the relative re searches on the price fluctuations of agricultural products, this article made the trend analysis and modeling analysis after the seasonal adjustment on time series of the production price and consumption price of sweet pepper by using the X--12 ARIMA seasonal adjustment method, so as to reveal the internal mechanism of price fluctuations in sweet pepper.
出处
《台湾农业探索》
2013年第4期24-30,共7页
Taiwan Agricultural Research
关键词
甜椒
价格波动
时间序列
季节调整
sweet pepper
price fluctuation
time series
seasonal adjustment
