全球化、经济增长与南北差异——基于KOF指数的实证研究

Globalization,economy growth and difference between north and south—demonstrative research based on KOF index

基于反映全球化水平的KOF指数,选取54个国家1995~2009年的面板数据,对全球化与经济增长进行了实证研究,结果显示,全球化对经济增长起到促进作用,但存在＂倒U型＂关系。发展中国家比发达国家从全球化中获得了更大的红利,这个结果从实证上解释了Bhagwati提出的发达国家比发展中国家更加反对全球化这一现象的原因。基于全球化与经济增长的关系,我国应该进一步提高全球化水平、同时兼顾经济增长的国内动力因素。

This paper studies empirically the impact of globalization on economy growth, using KOF index and panel data from 54 countries during 1995 to 2009. It is observed that globalization improves economic growth with U-curved effect. The developing countries get more dividends than the advanced countries gained from globalization, which explains the phenomenon of more opposition on globalization in advanced countries than in developing countries. Basing the result, China should enhance globalization level without omitting the domestic driving force for economy growth.