新疆建筑业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

Sinkiang c onstruction industry development and economy growth relation's demonstrative relation

本文运用格兰杰因果关系检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型,对新疆建筑业与经济增长的关系进行研究和分析。结果表明,新疆建筑业与经济增长之间存在长期均衡和短期波动的关系,经济增长长期拉动建筑业的增长,且经济增长对建筑业的长期影响比其短期影响大。

In this paper, Granger causality test, co integration test and error correction model were use to research and analyze the relationship between Xin jiang construction industry and economic growth. Th results show that, there is long-term equilibrium an short-term fluctuations between Xinjiang constructio industry and economic growth. Long-term economic growt pulls the construction industry＇s growth, and the ef fect of long-term economic growth on construction in dustrv is qreater than its short-term growth.