基于扩展的STIRPAT模型的新疆碳排放量的影响因素研究

Sinkiang carbon emission influence factor research based on expanded STIRPAT mode

基于扩展的STIRPAT模型,采用新疆1990~2010年统计数据,对新疆碳排放量的主要影响因素进行了实证研究。研究表明,当新疆人均GDP、能源强度、单位能耗碳排放量、人口规模每提高1%时,碳排放总量增长率将分别增长1.938%、1.233%、0.346%、0.329%。当新疆人均GDP、能源强度、单位能耗碳排放量每提高1%时,人均碳排放量增长率将分别增长2.742%、1.713%、0.477%。

Based on the extended STIRPAT model is adopted in this paper, and by using the statistical da- ta of xinjiang from 1990 to 2010 .we get the carbon e- missions of the main influence factors to the empirical research. Research shows that when GDP per capita, en- ergy intensity in xinjiang, unit energy consumption carbon emissions, every I% increase in population size and growth rate of carbon emissions will increase 1. 938%, 1.233%, 0.346% and 1.233% respectively. When xinjiang GDP per capita, energy intensity, per unit en- ergy consumption carbon emissions increased by 1%, the growth rate of per capita carbon emissions will in- crease 2.742%, 1.713%, 2.742% respectively.