略论高油价、高粮价对中东经济的影响

On the Different Effects of High Oil and Food Prices In the Middle East Economies

2012年主要有5大因素深刻影响着世界经济:美国经济低迷与经济政策的不确定性、欧元区日益加深的债务危机、中国等新兴经济体增长放缓、石油价格高企和全球粮价上涨。在全球经济形势下行的情况下,2012年高油价和高粮价对不同中东国家经济的影响存在着比较明显的差异。由于国际油价高企,中东国家以能源生产及其出口能力分野,大体划分为两种速度、两个世界:在高油价推动大多数石油出口国经济增长、恶化石油进口国财政状况的同时,高粮价则进一步加剧了石油进口国的经济失衡。

the sluggish US The World economy was offected by the five chief factors in 2012： economy and its policy Un certainty, the exacerbating debt crisis in the Euro -Zooe, the slowdown of the emerging economies, the high oil prices and the Soared food prices. Under the global downturn, and with the soared food prices, different effects of the high oil prices emerged in the MENA economies. On the basis of the energy production and exporting capacity, the sustained high prices in the in- ternational oil market divided the Middle East into two speeds, two worlds： most oil - exporting economies boomed as the financial performances of the oil - importing e- conomies deteriorated, while the economic imbalance in the oil -importing countries is further exacerbated by the high food prices.