湖北省旅游产业现状与对策——基于灰色关联分析的视角

Current situation and countermeasures of Hubei tourism ——from the perspective of grey correlation

利用1992～2011年的湖北省年度数据,采用灰色关联度方法对影响湖北省旅游产业产值的影响因素进行了分析。研究发现湖北省旅游产业产值与居民消费水平特别是城市消费水平密切相关,其次是与旅游产业基础设施相配套的产业星级宾馆数目、餐饮业收入以及旅游从业者人数等相关;在校大学生数目与农村居民消费水平对于湖北旅游产业发展的影响并不明显。研究结果对湖北省旅游产业发展具有指导意义。

Grey correlation was adopted to analyze the factors of Hubei tourism＇s output value based on annual data from 1992~2011.Findings show that Hubei tourism＇s output value is closely correlated with residential consumption level especially urban consumption level,followed by the tourist infrastructure-related industries including the number of star hotels,revenue of catering industry and the number of tourism practitioners.Neither the number of college students nor rural consumption level has much effect on the development of tourism industry in Hubei province.The result offers reference for Hubei tourism development.