我国宏观经济运行的“政府干预”程度探析

An Analysis of Chinese Government Intervention in Macro-Economy Operation

宏观经济运行的"政府干预"思想源远流长,既有增加政府对市场干预的主张,也有减少政府对市场干预的主张。"政府干预"模型分析表明:"政府干预"与"干预净收益"之间有一定的关系,并存在一个最优的"政府干预"。对中国宏观经济运行的实证分析表明:政府一直在调整"政府干预"程度以满足宏观经济发展的需要,而从中国宏观经济发展历程来看,历年的"政府干预"程度就在"最优干预"程度上下频繁波动。政府应当谨慎的决定增加或者减少对宏观经济运行的"政府干预",以使"政府干预"产生最优的"干预净收益"。

The concept of ＂Government Intervention＂ was born a long time ago. All the time, there have been some people advocating more ＂Government Intervention＂ and some others demanding less ＂Government Intervention＂. Analysis of the ＂Government Intervention＂ model shows that there is some correlativity between ＂Government Intervention＂ and ＂Intervention Net Proceeds＂ and an ＂Optimal Intervention＂ can be sought between them. Empirical analysis of Chinese ＂Government Intervention＂ in macro-economy demonstrates that our government has been adjusting ＂Government Intervention＂ to changes of macro-economy. Looking back at Chinese macro-economy development, we find that Chinese ＂Government Intervention＂ has been frequently fluctuating up and down around an ＂Optimal Intervention＂. The author holds that Chinese government should take a prudent attitude toward ＂Government Intervention＂ so as to achieve and maintain an ＂Optimal Intervention＂ state. [