人民币升值对我国玉米进出口贸易影响的实证分析

An empirical analysis of RMB appreciation on China's corn import and export trade

近年来,人民币升值对我国的经济产生了巨大的影响。玉米是我国的三大经济作物之一,历年来一直以出口为主,但近年来玉米的进口量却大幅度增加,中国成为了玉米净进口国。利用回归分析模型来探究汇率变动对我国玉米进出口的影响,实证研究结果表明,人民币升值对于我国玉米进口的影响大于出口的影响,也即人民币升值1%,玉米进口量增加22.816%,出口量减少16.732%。最后根据这一结果给我国的玉米进出口贸易以政策建议。

In recent years, the appreciation of RMB has China＇s three major economic crops, and over the years had a huge impact on China＇s economy. Corn is one of China has been export-oriented, but maize imports have substantially increased in recent years, and China has become a net importer of corn. Regression analysis model is used to explore the impact of exchange rate movements on China＇s corn import and export in this paper. The empirical results show that the impact of RMB appreciation for China＇s corn imports is greater than exports. Specifically, the appreciation of the RMB is 1% , corn imports have increased by 22. 816%, and exports have been reduced by 16. 732%. Finally, according to the results , it gives some policy recommendations to China＇s corn import and export trade.