摘要
根据完善气象预报预测系统的规划和需求,在继承和改进短时临近预报业务工作多年成果的基础上,宁夏气象台建立了灾害性天气短时临近监测预警平台。该平台设计为B/S和C/S架构有机结合,由数据运算程序集、数据库和网站3个部分交互协作的业务系统。本文从平台设计思路、结构特点、各模块主要功能等对宁夏灾害性天气短时临近监测预警平台作一简单介绍。该平台根据宁夏气象业务发展和防灾减灾实际需要研发,评估、优化、更新、整合了已有研究成果,融合多种探测资料与方法,突出短时临近灾害性天气实时监测预警和多模式预报产品检验评估与综合集成预报技术,建成以集成预报、国家指导预报、中尺度数值预报等定量化预报产品为基础,集"实时监测预警与综合分析、强对流灾害天气预报方法、检验评估与集成预报、预报预警快速制作分发"等为一体的业务平台。
Based on achievements in recent years on short - term forecasting and nowcasting business, the monitoring and forewarning platform of the short- term disaster weather was established in Ningxia Meteorological Observatory according to the planning and re- quirement of improving weather forecast system. The platform was designed on the basis of combining of B/S and C/S architecture, and was composed of data operation, database and website. In this paper, a brief introduction was given to the monitoring and forewarning platform of the short - term disaster weather in Ningxia about its design ideas, structure characteristics and functions of modules. The platfornl was developed according to actual needs of meteorological operation development, preventing and reducing meteorological dis- aster. In this platform, the multiple existing research results were assessed, optimized, updated and integrated, and a variety of detec- tion information and methods were applied, and the real - time monitoring and forewarning of short - term disastrous weather and the testing and integrating technology of multi - model forecast products were highlighted. The operational platform consists of functions such as real- time monitoring, forewarning, comprehensive analysis and prediction methods of severe convective disastrous weather, testing and evaluation, multiple forecast integrating and rapid manufacturing of forecast and forewarning, based on quantitative forecast such as integrated forecast, national guidance forecast and mesoscale numerical forecast, and so on. The application of this platform improves the comprehensive application capability of massive and multi- source meteorological data, strengthens monitoring, forewar- ning and joint defence capability of short- term disastrous weather, increases operating efficiency in short -term weather prediction, and provides reliable technical support for monitoring and forewarning of disastrous weather and disaster prevention and reduction, and also lays the foundation for the related research and developing on short -term forecasting and nowcasting business.
出处
《干旱气象》
2013年第3期616-621,共6页
Journal of Arid Meteorology
基金
中国气象局气象关键技术集成与应用项目"宁夏短临灾害性天气监测预警技术集成(CMAGJ2012M53)"资助
关键词
监测警戒
多模式预报
检验评估
动态集成
精细化
平台
monitoring and forewarning
multi - model forecasts
testing and evaluation
dynamic integration
fine forecast
opera- tional platform