基于层次分析法的电力负荷组合预测

Electric Power Load Combination Forecasting Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process

应用组合预测理论，引入层次分析法（AHP）建立电力负荷组合预测的结构模型，利用AHP的1～9标度．计算相应权重．对电网负荷进行预测，从而获得电力负荷预测的满意解及推荐值。算例结果表明，所提出的基于层次分析法的电力负荷组合预测法具有较高的预测精度，有一定的实用性。

Applies the combination forecasting theory, establishes the structure of the electric power load combination forecasting model, by introducing the analytic hierarchy process（AHP）. In addition, access the satisfactory solution and recommended values of the electric power load forecasting, by calculating the corresponding weights with the AHP 1-9 scale and predicting the electric power load. Numerical results show that this forecasting method is a practical model with higher forecast precision.