区际产业转移行业间技术溢出效应研究

The Inter-industry Technology Spillover of Chinese Regional Industry Transfer

基于计量经济模型与投入产出分析方法,本文将产业转移变量引入到计量经济模型中,分析区际产业转移行业间技术溢出效应对全要素生产率的影响;并借助甘肃省2007年投入产出表,利用投入产出法测算出总受益者效应和产业间的受益者效应,分别从横向和纵向两个方面对测算结果进行分析。实证分析结果表明:区域产业转移和行业间技术溢出效应对全要素生产率产生正向促进作用,机械制造业的行业间技术溢出效应最为明显,从时序特征上看,工业行业的总受益者效应呈现递增的趋势,产业间的受益者效应在不断地发生变化,但具有一定的稳定性。

Based on the econometric model and input-output method, the article analyzes the influences of the technology spillover effect of the regional industrial transfer in the inter-industry on total factor productivity. It also uses the input-output method to estimate the total beneficiaries＇ effect and the inter-industry beneficiaries＇ effect and analyzes the results from both the horizontal and the vertical aspects by using the input-output table of Gansu Province of 2007. The results indicate that firstly, the regional industrial transfer and the inter-industry technology spillover are both improving the total factor productivity, and the most obvious of it is the machinery manu- facturing industry. Secondly, the total beneficiaries＇ effect of the industry presents an ascending trend which is judging from the timing characteristics. Thirdly, the inter-industry beneficiaries effect continually changes but it still has certain stability.