中国经济发展指标和碳排放指标的统一性分析

A UNIFORMITY ANALYSIS BETWEEN CHINA'S 2020 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS AND CARBON EMISSION INDICATORS

本文对我国经济发展指标和碳排放约束指标进行统一性分析检验,在扩展的新古典经济增长模型中引入碳排放约束因素,研究1978—2010年经济发展和碳排放间的数量关系,并得到了实现2020年经济发展指标的最大碳排放量。本文研究发现,经济发展指标和碳排放约束指标具有统一性,即2020年完成人均GDP发展指标的情况下能够实现碳排放约束指标,同样在完成碳排放约束指标情况下也能实现人均GDP发展指标。

The paper makes a uniformity analysis between China＇s 2020 Economic Development Indica- tors and Carbon Emission Indicators. We introduce the constraints of carbon emissions into the expansion of the neo-classical economic growth model to study the quantitative relationship between economic devel- opment and carbon emissions between 1978 and 2010, and we also get the largest emissions in 2020. The study found that in 2020 we can achieve the goal of carbon emission constraints when we achieve the goals of real GDP per capita. Similarly, in 2020 we achieve the goals of real GDP per capita when we can achieve the goals of carbon emission constraints.