中国服务业扩张模式:平推化还是立体化?

Expansion of Service Industry:Horizontal Pushing or Three-Dimensional Expansion?

本文从经济结构优化视角出发，提出并论证服务业平推化与立体化扩张模式选择的重要论题，通过构造最优服务业比重理论模型分析了服务业立体化扩张模式的内在特征，对1998～2010年中国服务业扩张的空间面板计量分析发现，服务业扩张存在显著的空间正相关性。要素禀赋越高，立体化扩张越显著，技术采纳策略促进了服务业的平推化扩张。中国服务业立体化扩张模式滞后。从结构优化维度来讲，服务业立体化扩张模式显著优于平推化模式。

This paper proves the important topic of ＂Horizontal Pushing and Three-Dimensional Expansion mode of service industry＂ based on the economic structure optimization. Through constructs an optimal service industry structure theoretical model, we analyze the inherent characteristics of Three-Dimensional Expansion of service industry. And then, using spatial panel data econometrics methods to perform an empirical study on various regions of China＇s service indus- try expansion model in 1998~2010, the results show that, service expansion have significantly positive spatial correlation; the higher the factor endowments, the more prominent the service industry＇s Three-Dimensional Expansion, technology adoption strategies promote the Horizontal Pushing; Service industry＇s Three-Di- mensional Expansion mode of China is lagged behind. From the viewpoint of struc- ture optimization, the service industry＇s Three-Dimensional Expansion significantly outperforms Horizontal Pushing mode.